NATCA Bookshelf

National Office Departmental Update, June 27, 2018

A publication of the National Air Traffic Controllers Association

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equipped. There is still significant risk around meeting the Jan. 1, 2020 deadline to equip. The actual NAS fleet numbers needed are somewhat vague. By 2020, the Agency estimates that 6,000-7,000 U.S.-registered air carriers will need to be ADS-B Out equipped. Of those, 2,194 are equipped as of June 1st. Airline operators have all published their plans to meet the deadline and recent trend data indicates significant increase in equipage. Several airlines have significant portions (over 30%) of their fleet equipped including UPS (97%), JetBlue, Delta, United, American, Alaska, and FedEx. American has also announced a plan to equip 320 Airbus aircraft with ADS-B In. As of June 1st, 41,726 General Aviation aircraft are ADS-B equipped. For GA, the very rough estimate of avionics installation capacity nationwide is 50,000 aircraft per year and delays are becoming common at multiple avionics installation facilities. Users that wait too close to 2020 may find that the capacity for installation falls short of demand. Agency estimates of the overall GA fleet range widely from 100,000-160,000 aircraft. However, only aircraft that operate in ADS-B Rule airspace (where a transponder is required) will have to equip. This drops the number that need to equip to an uncertain extent. Further, MITRE studies have indicated that another 25,000-40,000 registered aircraft aren't even seen operating in the NAS. Based on all this data, the actual number of GA aircraft needed to equip may actually be closer to the 80,000 range. At the current rate of equipage, 85,000 aircraft will be equipped by the deadline. The military has already indicated they will be unable to meet the 2020 deadline. Several of their older airframes simply cannot accommodate the new avionics. The military does expect to equip newer fighters and all of their larger aircraft. The effort to do so has begun. To deal with the exceptions, the Agency is working on agreements with DOD to ensure specific radar sources remain in place. ADS-B IOCs have been completed at all En Route (ERAM and MEARTS) facilities. All ERAM sites have promoted ADS-B to the top of their sort cells. Three of four MEARTS facilities are operating on Fusion with ZSU next to transition. 132 of 155 Terminal sites have reached their ADS-B IOC, and 123 are operating on Fusion. The majority of the remaining Terminal sites are ARTS 2E sites awaiting an upgrade to the ELITE (STARS) build. The Terminal ADS-B/Fusion transition proceeds in this order: Kickoff meeting, ADS-B Flight Inspection, ADS-B IOC, Fusion Operational Suitability Demonstration (OSD), and Fusion Operations. The most recent and upcoming Terminal events: Great Falls (GTF) Fusion OSD 5/30 Casper (CPR) Fusion Transition 5/30 Rochester (RST) ADS-B IOC 5/31 Terre Haute (HUF) ADS-B/Fusion Kickoff 5/31 Asheville (AVL) ADS-B IOC 6/1 Reading (RDG) Fusion OSD 6/5 Reading (RDG) ADS-B IOC 6/6 Rochester (RST) Fusion OSD 6/5 Asheville (AVL) Fusion OSD 6/12 Great Falls (GTF) Fusion Operational 6/12

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